Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Because You Asked: Why Energy Investors Should Thank the Hedge Funds and other Hot Money for Dumping Energy Assets Cheap


May 19, 2010 (Investorideas.com energy newswire) Investorideas.com has received many requests to re-post Mr. Miller's current analysis of the US Energy and Infrastructure market, originally posted May 17, 2010, where he accurately made the call that investors should "seize the moment" and purchase as many high quality public energy and infrastructure companies as possible at the current massively oversold prices.


Mr. Miller has made the call and supported the case for remaining invested long term in the Energy and Infrastructure market, and the leading money managers have started to publicly acknowledge that Mr. Miller made the correct call and starting to move money back into the oversold Energy sector in recent days.

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Let me start by saying that experienced energy investors savor the times when the "Ambulance" chasers dump quality energy companies en masse to raise capital in order to chase a wounded victim, the Euro in this case.

For the record, the Euro is not going to fail. Some of the weaker countries in the EU may ultimately be removed from the Euro economic base, but as I will explain, they never should have been there in the first place. Hold that thought, and we will come back to it shortly.



For those investors that either know me from the Global Energy Industry over the past twenty years (20) or those that follow my commentary, I am certain all of you know my conviction that to accumulate and maintain true net worth, you must have a significant amount of your assets invested in the Energy Sector, with strong emphasis on US Energy companies, due to the preservation of capital.



It is common knowledge that I spent half it not more of my career working in the Global Energy Industry, mostly in Europe and Asia, with the balance in the US. While I am not a politician, when you work in Europe, especially in the Energy Sector, you must be part commercial executive and part politician, given the long, deep rooted socialist ideology in countries like France in particular, among others.



When the European Union was formed, and the Euro was created, the informed energy and other industry executives "knew full well" that the lesser countries like Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal were not strong enough financially to meet the guidelines set out by the EU and doubted they every would meet the debt to GDP ratios and other key metrics. However, the euphoria about including as many countries in the Euro to compete with the US Dollar at that time overshadowed the economic reality that many of the lesser European countries were admitted way too soon, if they should ever have been allowed to become part of the EU in a currency weighted scenario.



Also, the capital markets, the very ones that are now attacking the Euro "knew full well" that the lesser countries that I refer to above and they refer to as "PIIGS" were not financially capable of meeting the EU guidelines. This includes many of the financial executives that are now running Hedge Funds, Bank Currency Trading operations, and other institutional investors that I refer to in my opening statement as "Ambulance" chasers.



So, where does that leave us? Well, firstly when extremely high quality energy companies get absolutely dumped for no good reason other than Ambulance chasers need to raise money fast to chase the latest trade en mass with the rest of the heard, you must be able to identify this movement and capitalize by purchasing these companies at significant discounts.



You can dispel that there is any reality to what is commonly referred to as "market correction". There are only two types of investing that are credible, owning hard assets such as Energy (Oil, natural gas, and other products) and by default, you control or own "real estate", which as I have stated in prior analysis is the foundation of investing dating back to the beginning of recorded human time.



Leave the "market correction" myth to the rest of the market. The undisputed historical and prospective fact is that "he who controls the natural resources" controls the world we live in, irrespective whether it is the US, Europe, or Asia. The Chinese, despite their lack of respect for the rule of law, sanctity of contracts, and basic business honor, understand that they must control the natural resources necessary to promote their economy, which is why you see the Chinese government owned and controlled energy and infrastructure companies buying assets anywhere they can "cheaply" now as they know what I know, you must lock down your natural resource supplies, for otherwise you will not be a "landlord", but be a tenant and pay rent in perpetuity.



For those old enough to have studied history, this is the primary reason the Japanese decided to attack the US in 1941, they were being starved of natural resources and had none of their own, and thus they had to seize other territories in Asia which produced oil, rubber, and iron ore to support Japan’s economy.



Now, we have a global economy now, so I don’t think anyone will be going to war anytime soon to seize control of natural resources, other than the first Gulf War, which was absolutely about insuring Kuwait and more importantly, Saudi Arabian oil kept flowing freely to the global markets.



The moral of this history brief and story is that while the investing world has changed, the reasons to invest have not. When Hedge Funds, Hot Money, and Ambulance chasers dump energy and infrastructure assets cheap, like they have in recent weeks, you should seize upon this "gift" and buy as much of the high quality public companies in the sector as you can.



For just as quickly as the Hedge Funds, Hot Money, and Ambulance chasers dumped energy and infrastructure stocks, they will come back into the sector in full force of a thundering herd of water buffalo struggling to cross a river infested with crocodiles when they grow tired of their latest chase, the Euro. Why will they do this you may ask, well despite the well informed investors reasons for owning natural resources outlined above, Hot Money has no choice. They must chase the trade for a living, and energy and infrastructure is a "trade in perpetuity", you must own it if you manage money.



Previous commentary ,"Did You Miss the Biggest Buying Opportunity in Energy, Thursday May 6, 2010" by energy executive Karl Miller was one of the most read articles on Investorideas.com.



Read the full article published May 6th at Investorideas.com:

http://www.naturalgasstocks.com/Karl_Miller/news/5071.asp



Karl Miller
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